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Major Site Upgrade in Progress |
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| Where will the FTSE close on 31st Dec 2006 |
| 6200+ |
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37% |
[ 17 ] |
| 6000 to 6199 |
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13% |
[ 6 ] |
| 5800 to 5999 |
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8% |
[ 4 ] |
| 5600 to 5799 |
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2% |
[ 1 ] |
| 5400 to 5599 |
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2% |
[ 1 ] |
| 5200 to 5399 |
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11% |
[ 5 ] |
| 5000 to 5199 |
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15% |
[ 7 ] |
| Below 5000 |
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8% |
[ 4 ] |
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| Total Votes : 45 |
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fireboy
Saving Enthusiast
Joined: 18 Oct 2004
Posts: 134
Cash Points ££ 459.94
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 Posted: Mon Jan 30, 2006 7:02 pm Post subject: Where will the FTSE Close on 31st Dec 2006 - Vote now ! |
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Hi All
This is a Poll to see where people think the FTSE will close on 31st December 2006.
I'm setting the poll to stay live until 30th November 2005, so give people plenty of time to vote, and hpefully give a good indication during the year of where the FTSE will close.
I will also update the poll results to date monthly se we can see how the vote develops through the year.
Thanks all for your vote  |
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Sarah
Money Manager
Joined: 16 Jul 2004
Posts: 831
Cash Points ££ 12024.38
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| Posted: Tue Jan 31, 2006 6:10 am Post subject: |
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Good idea !
I think I'll make this a stick |
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Dave
Beginning Saver
Joined: 24 Oct 2004
Posts: 37
Cash Points ££ 332.46
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| Posted: Thu Feb 09, 2006 4:54 am Post subject: |
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It all depends on oil prices if they fall then that should help the ftse  If they rise then the ftse even with the big oil stocks should fall
But given that we are in a bull market I would say the ftse will end the year above 6000 |
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Wade
Saving Enthusiast
Joined: 17 Feb 2005
Posts: 185
Cash Points ££ 2569.94
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| Posted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 6:02 pm Post subject: |
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It does seem to be gyrating between 5850 and 5700 ??
Maybe it will fall afterall so I plop for 5200 |
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cardjunkie
Professional Investor
Joined: 24 Jul 2004
Posts: 311
Cash Points ££ 2248.20
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| Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2006 2:38 am Post subject: |
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The level of the market in December 2006 will depend upon the decisions of tens of thousands of investors about hundreds of stocks. If prices were fully forecastable, it would mean these decisions were predictable. And that, in turn, would imply that people don't have free will - which would undermine all we believe about human nature and society.
The best a forecaster can do, then, is to look for clues as to whether investors' risk-aversion now is higher or lower than normal. That's what most of our lead indicators do. |
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techman
Money Saver
Joined: 08 Sep 2004
Posts: 106
Cash Points ££ 328.00
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| Posted: Sat Feb 18, 2006 12:47 am Post subject: |
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I'm bullish too !
Using my shares isa allowance of £4k with another £4k going into stocks in April |
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cashman
Beginning Saver
Joined: 01 Oct 2004
Posts: 49
Cash Points ££ 140.00
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| Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2006 5:36 pm Post subject: |
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| Clearly the markets running out of steam |
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Dave
Beginning Saver
Joined: 24 Oct 2004
Posts: 37
Cash Points ££ 332.46
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| Posted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 7:00 pm Post subject: |
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Still looks like its going to break above 6000 this year, yesterday it was trading above 5900 so not that far off now !
Though today looks pretty rough |
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Dshepard
Beginning Saver
Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Posts: 29
Cash Points ££ 381.46
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| Posted: Fri Mar 17, 2006 3:23 am Post subject: |
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| The FTSE is likely to break above 6000 within the next few days... then what ? it means its getting very close to your 6200 upper limit, perhaps you need to add more options to the poll ? |
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Phillipa
Veteran Investor
Joined: 05 Feb 2005
Posts: 419
Cash Points ££ 3383.78
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| Posted: Thu Apr 06, 2006 4:45 am Post subject: |
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| Yes, I think the polls lacking in upper boundaries beyond 6200 |
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Quinn
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Joined: 06 Feb 2005
Posts: 181
Cash Points ££ 2817.02
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| Posted: Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:56 am Post subject: |
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The stock market is definetly strong and it looks like your upper band will be breached some time in may.
Though I do recall the old stock market adage, about sell in may and go away  |
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Sarah
Money Manager
Joined: 16 Jul 2004
Posts: 831
Cash Points ££ 12024.38
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| Posted: Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:41 am Post subject: |
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Mays approaching ... remember the old adgae, sell in May and go away
History teaches that Sell In May is a useful rule of thumb for long-term investors. During the last four decades, investors gained almost 10 per cent in the average year by steadily holding shares from November to April. But they lost money in the typical year by systematically investing in May to October.
Sell In May is not a perfect system to follow. Shortcomings appear once stock market returns are examined on a year-by-year basis. Investors may have lost money over the long-run with a May to October investment but shares rose 12 times and fell 12 times during this period since 1981.
As far as 2005 is concerned, broad economic fears, coupled with uncertainties surrounding the up-coming election are causing many investors to fear for the worst during the next six months. Although no one knows with certainty what lies ahead, history provides an interesting perspective.
During the last few decades, price swings in the first four months of the year dis a fine job of forecasting the direction of the May to November trend.
There were nine occasions since 1981 when shares shifted moderately in January to April within a range of -0.1 per cent to +6.7 per cent. Prices rose in May to November in each of those nine years.
The 15 years remaining years of this period saw January to April price shifts outside of the target range. It proved to be a worrying omen. Shares fell in May to November just 12 times. Furthermore, each of the three exceptions to the rule were small six-month gains of no more than three per cent.
History hints that prospects for the next six months might be more promising than some experts believe |
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Quinn
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Joined: 06 Feb 2005
Posts: 181
Cash Points ££ 2817.02
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| Posted: Fri May 12, 2006 10:16 pm Post subject: |
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LOL - Sell in May and ago away definetly seems to have worked today !
That was a big selling day on the FTSE to back well below 6000 !
I think we are headed for FTSE 5500 at least ! The steam seems to have been zapped out of the markets, mainly due to the americans raising rates |
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Wade
Saving Enthusiast
Joined: 17 Feb 2005
Posts: 185
Cash Points ££ 2569.94
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