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Shahla Money Managing Guru

Joined: 13 Nov 2004 Posts: 3324
Cash Points ££ 126163.28
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Posted: Mon Feb 26, 2007 2:45 pm Post subject: Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 26th Feb |
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Tuesday was a bummer. Was someone playing around with the bullion? Wednesday was back on track and everything looks great.
GOLD - LONG TERM
Well, we now have a stronger confirmation on the long term P&F chart that the bull is on once more. The original upside break at $660 still had some resistance from earlier action but that was breached by the move to $690 this past week. Yes, there still is that previous high set last May but that is expected to be breached in not to distant future. When we draw our 45 degree up or down trend lines we can often draw a parallel resistance or support line.
We had that long red dashed resistance line from the 1996 action right up to last year's top. We now have a new resistance line which seems to be an extension of the previous blue support line. This happens, a previous support becoming a resistance and visa versa. One can now envision the action going into the future being trapped by these two lines, the solid blue support line and the dashed red resistance line. As for projections for the move, well we went through that earlier but let's look at it again. The original break projects to the $780 level while this weeks move through additional resistance now projects to $915. I know that I have those longer term projections going into the $1500/$1600 level but let's take things one step at a time -- $780 is first.
So, what are the normal indicators telling us. From the action during the week, especially the later part of the week, one might guess that they are all positive. Well, they are but with some slight caution. The price action has been all above the long term positively sloping moving average line. As long as the action is above a positive moving average line one can remain bullish. However, momentum is still slightly under performing although firming up with the latest action. The long term momentum (suggesting strength of the price action) has been in the positive zone for years except for a very brief period in 2004. Although continuing to move higher in the positive zone it is still below its level reached during the June/July rally of last year. This slight under performance is always something to be watched and considered BUT one should not dwell too heavily upon it but go with the recent action and trends. With a volume indicator in its positive zone and above its positively sloping moving average trigger line all is in place. The long term prognosis remains BULLISH.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article407.html |
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