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Sarah
Money Manager
Joined: 16 Jul 2004
Posts: 831
Cash Points ££ 12024.38
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 Posted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 4:54 am Post subject: Five ways to invest in China for 2007 - ETF's |
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Last year was a happy one for domestic stock market investors. All the major U.S. indices were up in 2006. But 2007 might not be a repeat.
Reason: The U.S. economy has been slowing rapidly. In the last week, the stream of discouraging news has just kept coming. Four examples:
The Commerce Department said gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2% in the third quarter, down from 2.6% in the second quarter.
The Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators rose by just 0.1% in November. Over the past six months, the index is up a meager 0.2%. According to Ken Goldstein, one of the group's economists, 'The slower economy of the second half of 2006 might continue into the first half of 2007.'
The headlines said that durable goods orders increased by 1.9% in November. But once you back out transportation orders, durable goods orders actually fell by 1.1%. In other words, orders were weak for just about everything else.
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's manufacturing survey came in at a negative 4.3 for December. That's the third time in the past four months that this fairly important data showed a rapidly slowing economy.
Heck, most of the 2007 U.S. GDP estimates I've seen run between 1% and 2%.
I don't know about you, but that type of growth rate doesn't get me excited. Not when there are parts of the world expanding three, four, even five times as fast! For instance ...
China Is Poised to Continue Its Relentless Expansion
While the U.S. has been looking weak, the Chinese economy is growing like a weed. The People's Bank of China issued its new 2007 forecast last week, saying it expects the country's GDP to expand 9.8% for the year. Ma Kai, the chairman of China's main planning agency — the National Development and Reform Commission — said China's “relentless expansion has yet to be stopped.” How true!
Although 9.8% is slightly less than the 10%-plus growth China has been enjoying, that kind of rise is still pretty darn impressive. And remember, the Chinese government has consistently underestimated its country's growth by a wide margin.
Full article - http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article194.html |
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Wade
Saving Enthusiast
Joined: 17 Feb 2005
Posts: 185
Cash Points ££ 2569.94
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| Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2007 2:29 am Post subject: |
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| I'm going to wait and see exactly if the USA is going into a recession. I think china could be hit hard if the recession happens this year |
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cardjunkie
Professional Investor
Joined: 24 Jul 2004
Posts: 311
Cash Points ££ 2248.20
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| Posted: Sat Jan 20, 2007 5:33 am Post subject: |
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| Ivee been reading an artiicle by Marc Fabor who says that all the markets esepcially emerging markets like China are due for a big crash, and that really now is the worst time to pile into the markets |
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