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FTSE 100 forecast for 2006

 
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Neo
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 19, 2005 3:52 pm    Post subject: FTSE 100 forecast for 2006 Reply with quote
Its that time of the year again.. okay soon Very Happy

My forecast for 2006 is that it will rally early in the year maybe to 5850, then down into August to October to around 5400, then up into the end of the year to ? 5800 to 5900 so I guess it will gain about 5-6%

There is talk about rate cuts, but I can;t imagine these appearing until late in 2006 and probably being the trigger for the end of year surge.

The early year sell that I will be looking for i.e. the actual sell signal coming off the rally is for a a sustained fall through the 50 SMA on the FTSE, coming off a high MACD reading with negative divergence on the MACD histogram and similar sells on other indicies as confirmation, which initially would target a 100% move from the high to the 50 SMA break i.e. your half way to the next sell signal which would be a break of the t-line from the 2003 LOW, which has contained downtrends on 3 prior occasions (including oct 05) and implies that the fourth attack will break it, though offcourse it needs to occur for that second sell signal i.e. so no pre-emptive action.
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Mike
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PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2006 1:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
I think 2006 will be a strong year, the FTSE will rise by more than 15% !
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Sarah
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 08, 2006 5:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Okay my forecast is for the FTSe to finish the year at above 6000.

The trend will probably be rough as it will depend on oil price movements etc...
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 9:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
The ftse keeps nudging higher it may well exceed 6000 by december !
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 29, 2006 3:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Seems to have bounced back from the recent falls
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Nadeem
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 01, 2006 1:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
I think the key for the ftse during 2006 will be GDP growth, unless it picls up from the pedestrian rate forecast, I can't see the FTSE it running ahead by much. Confused

I think we will be lucky to see growth beyond 2%.

Still this does not mean that some sectors will vastly outperform the overall market !
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Sarah
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 6:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Well up until this week it did look like hitting 6000 within a matter of week, now Confused

It does appear to be weakening
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Quinn
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 06, 2006 3:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Heres a forecast of the ftse 100 for the rest of the year - all u looking for further falls - see it and weep Smile

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Sami
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 08, 2006 2:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Hmmm , if interest rates rise again, u can kiss good bye to your forecast Wink
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Victor
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2006 5:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Sami wrote:
Hmmm , if interest rates rise again, u can kiss good bye to your forecast Wink


Forget interest rates ! If those terror attacks had happened it would have fallen a lot more than it did earlier today !
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Quinn
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2006 4:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
SO far so good Smile, it 'should' and is rallying right into the eyar end without a drop in October !

Though statisically September is a bad month for stocks !
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Wade
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
LOL, just after your post the FTSE fell !

Okay , so where are we going with this forecast ?

What ? Buy in october, is I think what you are implying ?
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Sarah
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
It does not seem to be able to make its mind up, the FTSE that is Wink
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twofnine
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 1:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Sarah wrote:
It does not seem to be able to make its mind up, the FTSE that is Wink


Sarah my forecast for year end is 6200 - 6400 for the ftse, into 2007 into 6500 when I shall probably sell Investments. I feel in 2007 that the ftse will drop to 4900, and war with Iran!
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Quinn
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